Cheeky is here to preview all the Premier League action and give you his best tips, with Betfair odds throughout.
Leicester City v Leeds United
Leicester were absolute quality against Burnley the other night and good value for that 2-0 win. It all happened in Leeds of course. Goodbye Marcelo Bielsa. The man who ended a 16-year injury at Elland Road has been dismissed. You’d think the club might have shown a bit more loyalty to ‘El Loco’, but it’s all about results and Saturday’s 4-0 loss to Tottenham meant they had lost their last four games. on an aggregate score of 17-2. Indeed Leeds conceded 20 goals in February. Fucking King 20!!
A new boss has of course been appointed since. Jesse Marsch (I said it in “Macho Man” with the voice of Randy Savage) once won the Austrian Bundesliga and the Austrian Cup with Red Bull Salzburg. Drop Jesse! No way he won’t start with an ‘L’ this weekend. Leeds are defensively outrageous at the moment. Dedication to Jamie Vardy as well. Since his Premier League debut on August 31, 2014, the Leicester striker has been directly involved in 168 goals (128 goals, 40 assists), a haul only bettered by Harry Kane over the same period.
Bet: Leicester to win and over 1.5 goals in matches (Betfair)
Aston Villa v Southampton
I’ve been doing this column for a number of years now, but even the ‘latest sports gambling outlaw’ needs to move with the times, so let’s get down with the kids and do we have a ‘bet builder’ here ( the first in the history of Cheeky Punt by the way). I shout Che Adams Anytime Goalscorer (11/5), Over 2.5 Goals (4/6) and Goal Scored in Both Halves – Yes (4/6).
Southampton are unbeaten in five Premier League games and Adams scored his third goal in four games as Saints brushed aside Norwich last time out.
Betting: Bet Builder at 4.66/1 (Betfair)
Burnley v Chelsea
Burnley squandered the chance to escape the bottom three for the first time in months by losing to Leicester, and in truth looked a little jaded having played a lot of football recently.
Bad week for poor Thomas Tuchel, with the media asking him in a rather ridiculous way to answer questions about Roman Abramovich and the war in Ukraine just days after he took a beating for his decision to replace Kepa with Mendy for the penalty shootout against Liverpool at Wembley. The Blues perform here as warm joys, with Chelsea having won six of their seven Premier League games at Burnley, drawing the other. Personally, I would rather be in both teams to score at Turf Moor than take half or worse the away win.
Bet: Both teams to score at 6/5 (Betfair)
Newcastle United v Brighton
Crazy what is happening now in Newcastle. Joelinton is a reborn player who has become the unlikely poster child for Eddie Howe’s Newcastle revolution. I wasn’t impressed with the Magpies signings in January, but that’s why I’ve never been linked before with the England job and your man Eddie.
The Mags have never won in nine previous Premier League meetings with Brighton (D5 L4) but there is a real mood of optimism on Tyneside at the moment and I think the Toon looks like a quite decent punt here at 13/8.
Paris: Newcastle winner at 13/8 (Betfair)
Norwich City v Brentford
Here’s a bold cry… Brentford are relegated (currently a 13/5 shot with Betfair). Their recent form has been pathetic and whoever loses that can start packing their bags for the championship quite frankly.
Norwich won the reverse game earlier in the season and can strike again at Carrow Road. Since beating Aston Villa 2-1 in January, Brentford have picked up just one point from their last 24 available in the Premier League. Home win. Am very optimistic.
Bet: Norwich win and under 3.5 goals at 5/2 (Betfair)
Wolves vs Crystal Palace
Palace are averaging 1.4 goals per game in the Premier League under Patrick Vieira (37 goals in 27 games). Vieira were favorites to be the first manager sacked in August and Crystal Palace were freely backed to be relegated at the time.
With Bielsa gone, that’s nine Premier League managers sacked in a Premier League season that still has 11 games to go (for the Eagles anyway) and Vieira is still standing. Going pretty well in the league and in the hat for the next round of the FA Cup. the man at the top.
Bet: 1-1 draw at 5/1 (Betfair)
Liverpool v West Ham
Mo Salah is literally the man, isn’t he? The Egyptian king has scored nine goals in his nine Premier League appearances against West Ham, scoring once in his four meetings with them at Anfield.
He’s miles ahead in the Premier League’s Golden Boot race and I just can’t stop anyone from throwing him at 13/5 to score first this weekend.
Paris: Salah will score first at 13/5 (Betfair)
Watford v Arsenal
The late 2-1 win over Wolves leaves Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal just two points behind fourth-placed Manchester United, two games clear of their arch-rivals. The North London giants have only managed to score once in their last 12 league games.
Watford picked up a welcome point at Old Trafford but I still don’t know how this ended up 0-0. They don’t offer much my way of attacking the threat, so my money is dropping heavily this weekend on Arsenal to earn zero. Emile Smith Rowe and Bukayo Saka are class players and will lead Arsenal to victory in this one.
Paris: Arsenal win at zero to 7/5 (Betfair)
Manchester City v Manchester United
Time and again the Red Devils have flattered to cheat this season. One step forward. Two backs. I had a big bet on them beating Watford last weekend so I’m clearly bitter. Ronaldo is obviously not the strength of the elders. Ralf Rangnick has major doubts over the prospect of CR7 leading the line for Manchester United next season. And he’s not the only fucking king. Their shot count has been off the charts in recent weeks, but they have failed to put aside highly uncertain opposition (draws against Watford, Burnley and Southampton and knocked out of the FA Cup by Middlesbrough). I wouldn’t support them – even at 15/2 – with stolen money this Sunday.
Big game at the Etihad only because after six straight wins, Liverpool found themselves in the title race. The gap at the top is six points but the Reds have one game less. For its part, Manchester City has conceded the fewest goals (17) in the Premier League this season and United is struggling to find the old bag of onions. The Citizens will dominate possession, and Pep will be all erratic hand signals, shadows at 5 o’clock and firm butts on the bench. With that in mind, “Unders” isn’t the world’s worst scream.
Betting: Under 2.5 goals at 5/4 (Betfair)
Tottenham v Everton
Half a billion pounds spent in five years and only Burnley keeps Everton in the bottom three! Let it sink in. Tottenham were absolutely crap against Middlesbrough the other night. Still baffles me at times how Harry Winks is a professional footballer, while my own dreams died in a haze of Tizer and Wham Bars at the age of 14 when I discovered soft porn on the Sky satellite dish of my mother and my father.
Paris: Davison Sanchez will score first at 25/1 (Betfair)
Odds correct at time of publication. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. Visit begambleaware.org